Development and Evaluation of Neural Network Architectures for Model Predictive Control of Building Thermal Systems

The operational and indoor environmental quality of buildings has a significant impact on global energy consumption and human quality of life. One of the key directions for improving building performance is the optimization of building control systems. In modern buildings, the presence of numerous actuators and monitoring points makes manually designed control algorithms potentially suboptimal due to the complexity and human factors. To address this challenge, model predictive control based on artificial neural networks can be employed. The advantage of this approach lies in the model’s ability to learn and understand the dynamic behavior of the building from monitoring datasets. It should be noted that the effectiveness of such control models is directly dependent on the forecasting accuracy of the neural networks. In this study, we adapt neural network architectures such as GRU and TCN for use in the context of building model predictive control. Furthermore, we propose a novel hybrid architecture that combines the strengths of recurrent and convolutional neural networks. These architectures were compared using real monitoring data collected with a custom-developed device introduced in this work. The results indicate that, under the given experimental conditions, the proposed hybrid architecture outperforms both GRU and TCN models, particularly when processing large sequential input vectors.