This study proposes an integrated framework that combines nonlinear stochastic vibration analysis with reliability assessment to address the safety issues of cable systems under damage conditions. First of all, a mathematical model of the damaged cable is established by introducing damage parameters, and its static configuration is determined. Using the Pearl River Huangpu Bridge as a case study, the accuracy of the analytical solution for the cable’s sag displacement is validated through the finite difference method (FDM). Furthermore, a quantitative relationship between the damage parameters and structural response under stochastic excitation is developed, and the nonlinear stochastic dynamic equations governing the in-plane and out-of-plane motions of the damaged cable are derived. Subsequently, a Gaussian Radial Basis Function Neural Network (GRBFNN) method is employed to solve for the steady-state probability density function of the system response, enabling a detailed analysis of how various damage parameters affect structural behavior. Finally, the First-Order and Second-Order Reliability Method (FORM/SORM) are used to compute the reliability index and failure probability, which are further validated using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). Results show that the severity parameter η shows the highest sensitivity in influencing the failure probability among the damage parameters. For the system of the Pearl River Huangpu bridge, an increase in the damage extent δ from 0.1 to 0.4 can reduce the reliability-based service life of by approximately 40% under fixed values of the damage severity and location, and failure risk is highest when the damage is located at the midspan of the cable. This study provides a theoretical framework from the point of stochastic vibration for evaluating the response and associated reliability of mechanical systems; the results can be applied in practice with guidance for the engineering design and avoid potential damages of suspended cables.
Wang et al. (Mon,) studied this question.