This study examines the intricacies of onion production in Bangladesh, with the goal of offering valuable insights into methods for encouraging domestic cultivation and decreasing reliance on imports. By employing time series analysis, ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) modelling, and qualitative methodologies such as fishbone diagrams and Pareto charts, this study utilizes data from 1989 to 2020 to anticipate onion production patterns and identify the important elements that influence customer preferences. The results demonstrate a steady rise in domestic onion output, indicating a favourable prospect for satisfying local demand. The ARIMA (1,1,0) with drift model predicts a consistent increase in production until 2040, assisting policymakers in managing the trade-off between import dependence and initiatives to strengthen domestic production. Furthermore, the fishbone diagram and Pareto chart serve to emphasize pivotal elements, including market demand, financial backing, and policy interventions, which have the potential to influence consumer inclination towards locally cultivated onions. By taking into consideration these various elements, Bangladesh has the potential to augment its economic growth and attain a higher level of self-sufficiency in the production of onions.
Das et al. (Thu,) studied this question.