Abstract Amplified climate change across the Arctic causes significant permafrost thaw and an increase of permafrost degradation landforms. These landforms range from fine‐scale degrading ice wedge‐polygon‐networks to large‐scale features such as thermo‐erosional gullies and reshape entire landscapes. In particular the expansion of thermo‐erosional gullies could have far‐reaching consequences by restructuring drainage pathways. Our study aims at finding a suitable remote sensing‐based approach for quantifying landscape‐scale permafrost degradation in gully‐dominated Arctic landscapes. We use historical and recent high‐resolution panchromatic satellite imagery allowing multi‐decadal analysis of degradation trajectories. Given that degradation stages are characterized by distinct but subtle textural characteristics in satellite imagery, we tested texture‐based machine learning segmentation methods including Random Forest (RF) using gray level co‐occurrence matrix (GLCM) texture features and deep learning Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) using a UNet architecture. For CNN, we tested various framework adjustments. Our results showed that CNN outperforms RF particularly for complex texture‐defined classes. CNN reached a micro mIoU of 0.71 (accuracy 83.2%) compared to 0.61 (accuracy 75.9%) for RF. Well‐developed baydzherakhs, an advanced stage of ice‐wedge‐polygon degradation, were detected with high confidence (recall of 0.78–0.96 for CNN). Data augmentation and the use of GLCM features within CNN enhanced robustness against domain shifts. However, the most efficient way to adapt the trained model for additional sites was achieved through targeted fine‐tuning. In conclusion, CNN segmentation demonstrated satisfying performance in quantifying fuzzy permafrost degradation stages. It can be expanded in space and time and therefore enables studying long‐term permafrost degradation dynamics.
Inauen et al. (Thu,) studied this question.