Navigating the Storm: Assessing the Impact of Geomagnetic Disturbances on Low-Cost GNSS Permanent Stations

As contemporary society and the global economy become increasingly dependent on satellite-based systems, the need for reliable and resilient positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) services has never been more critical. This study investigates the impact of the geomagnetic storm that occurred in May 2024 on the performance of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) low-cost permanent stations. The research evaluates the influence of ionospheric disturbances on both positioning performance and raw GNSS observations. Two days were analyzed: 8 May 2024 (DOY 129), representing quiet ionospheric conditions, and 11 May 2024 (DOY 132), coinciding with the peak of the geomagnetic storm. Precise Point Positioning (PPP) and static relative positioning techniques were applied to data from a low-cost GNSS station (DYVA), supported by comparative analysis using a nearby geodetic-grade station (TRDS00NOR). The results showed that while RMS positioning errors remained relatively stable over 24 h, the maximum errors increased significantly during the storm, with the 3D positioning error nearly doubling on DOY 132. Short-term analysis revealed even larger disturbances, particularly in the vertical component, which reached up to 3.39 m. Relative positioning analysis confirmed the vulnerability of single-frequency (L1) solutions to ionospheric disturbances, whereas dual-frequency (L1+L2) configurations substantially mitigated errors, highlighting the effectiveness of ionosphere-free combinations during storm events. In the second phase, raw GNSS observation quality was assessed using detrended GPS L1 carrier-phase residuals and signal strength metrics. The analysis revealed increased phase instability and signal degradation on DOY 132, with visible cycle slips occurring between epochs 19 and 21. Furthermore, the average signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) decreased by approximately 13% for satellites in the northwest sky sector, and a 5% rise in total cycle slips was recorded compared with the quiet day. These indicators confirm the elevated measurement noise and signal disruption associated with geomagnetic activity. These findings provide a quantitative assessment of low-cost GNSS receiver performance under geomagnetic storm conditions. This study emphasizes their utility for densifying GNSS infrastructure, particularly in regions lacking access to geodetic-grade equipment, while also outlining the challenges posed by space weather.