Abstract Although global tropical cyclone (TC) frequency has been widely studied, projected future changes in TC‐induced hazards remain poorly understood. This is particularly true for compound wind–precipitation hazards, despite their critical importance for climate resilience. Leveraging two suites of large‐ensemble, high‐resolution climate simulations, here we show that these compound extreme hazards intensify markedly under global warming, even as global TC frequency declines. The amplification is especially significant over intermediate inland regions where historically less exposed to TCs. Comparing present (1981–2020) and late‐century (2061–2100) climates, the annual probability of compound wind and precipitation extreme hazards increases by 61.4–114.6% within 100 km of the coast and further escalate by 92.4–204.5% in areas 100–500 km inland. This inland amplification is driven by more intense landfalling TCs and sustained increases in precipitation rates linked to enhanced atmospheric moisture availability. Our results demonstrate that fewer TCs do not necessarily imply reduced TC-risk, highlighting the urgent need for adaptation strategies that address compound hazards well beyond coastlines.
Fu et al. (Thu,) studied this question.