Evolution of Potentially Actionable Genomic Alterations in Advanced Prostate Cancer: A Real-World Analysis of Serial Circulating Tumor DNA Testing

Background: Longitudinal genomic profiling through serial circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing offers a noninvasive method to monitor clonal evolution in advanced prostate cancer. This study evaluated the frequency and nature of newly emergent and potentially actionable genomic alterations detected through serial testing in a real-world setting. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of advanced prostate cancer patients who underwent multiple Guardant360 ctDNA tests between October 2020 and March 2023. The study focused on identifying new genomic alterations absent in the initial test, with particular attention to alterations relevant for on-label therapies, therapies approved in other oncologic indications (i.e., off-label), or a clinical trial. Results: Among 479 patients with at least two ctDNA tests, the median interval between the first and second evaluable tests was 207 days. New and potentially actionable alterations emerged in 57.8% of patients, including potential targets for on-label therapies (16.7%), off-label therapies (16.5%), and clinical trials (55.7%). Tumor mutational burden (TMB) increased from “low” to “high” in 11% of patients, although none had microsatellite instability or mismatch repair deficiency. In a Mayo Clinic subset, ten patients received olaparib based on treatment-emergent alterations, but none achieved a prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response. Two patients who transitioned from low to high TMB received pembrolizumab, both with progressive disease as best response. Conclusions: In a large real-world cohort, serial ctDNA testing frequently identified new alterations that were not detected at baseline and are potentially actionable therapeutic targets, highlighting the value of serial genomic profiling for capturing clonal dynamics. Additional research is needed to better establish a framework for retesting and to clarify how these results should influence subsequent treatment decisions.