Research on Multi-Source Information-Based Mineral Prospecting Prediction Using Machine Learning

The Shizhuyuan polymetallic deposit in Hunan Province, China, is a world-class ore field rich in tungsten (W), tin (Sn), molybdenum (Mo), and bismuth (Bi), now facing resource depletion due to prolonged exploitation. This study addresses the limitations of traditional geological prediction methods in complex terrain by integrating multi-source datasets—including γ-ray spectrometry, high-precision magnetometry, induced polarization (IP), and soil radon measurements—across 5049 samples. Unsupervised factor analysis was employed to extract five key ore-indicating factors, explaining 82.78% of data variance. Based on these geological features, predictive models including Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) were constructed and compared. SHAP values were employed to quantify the contribution of each geological feature to the prediction outcomes, thereby transforming the machine learning “black-box models” into an interpretable geological decision-making basis. The results demonstrate that machine learning, particularly when integrated with multi-source data, provides a powerful and interpretable approach for deep mineral prospectivity mapping in concealed terrains.