Aim. To develop a methodology for quantifying the likelihood of risks in the development of the agro-industrial complex of the region. Methodology. The research used methods of analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, comparison, and a systematic approach. Results. Based on mathematical logic, a methodology has been developed for quantifying the degree of risks associated with the components of the development of the agro-industrial complex of the region, which are significantly susceptible to risks, with further determination of the total probability of risk in the development of the agro-industrial complex of the region. Research implications. The methodology is intended for researchers of the problems of agroindustrial complex development in the regions of Russia. The results of the application of the author’s methodology for analyzing statistical data will serve as reliable information in substantiating the problems (threats) and prospects for the development of the agro-industrial complex in the regions of Russia.
M.A. Arzumanyan (Fri,) studied this question.