Warm-cloud hygroscopic seeding is widely used in precipitation enhancement, but the conditions under which seeding amplifies or suppresses rainfall remain unclear. Here, we use a two-dimensional slab-symmetric spectral bin microphysics model from Tel Aviv University to simulate a warm convective cloud that occurred over Hainan, China, on 11 May 2024, and design three sets of sensitivity experiments in which hygroscopic particles of different characteristic diameters are introduced under a fixed-mass injection constraint. We find that seeding with submicrometer particles (0.1–0.9 µm) systematically suppresses precipitation, with the strongest reduction for 0.1 µm particles. When super-micrometer particles (1–9 µm) are used, the precipitation response transitions from suppression to enhancement as particle size increases, and this transition occurs at about 2 µm. Seeding with ultra-giant particles (>10 µm) generally enhances rainfall and also advances its onset, with the enhancement strengthening up to ~60 µm before weakening for even larger particles. We further show that the transitional particle size at which the seeding effect changes sign decreases with increasing background aerosol loading, from maritime to polluted urban conditions. These results identify an environment-dependent critical particle size that governs the sign and efficiency of hygroscopic seeding in warm convective clouds.
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Xian-tong Ren
Yan Yin
Qian Chen
Atmosphere
Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
Jilin Weather Modification Office
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Ren et al. (Wed,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/692b944c1d383f2b2a378d41 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16121340