Secrecy in AI: A Fragile Paradigm vs. the Open Internet ModelCivilization Physics — Economic Series This paper argues that the pervasive secrecy of today’s AI industry is not a sign of strength but a symptom of paradigm fragility. Unlike the early Internet—whose open protocols (TCP/IP, HTTP, RFC standards) were anchored in solid theoretical foundations—the current AI ecosystem rests on architectures that lack a unifying scientific theory. As a result, firms rely on secrecy as a strategic shield to protect brittle models, unstable behaviors, and a narrative of inevitability that drives valuation and public confidence. The paper contrasts two civilizational models: 1. The Open Internet Paradigm — Strength Through Openness Built on well-understood theories of networking and information flow, the Internet thrived by publishing open standards, enabling peer review, and inviting global collaboration. Openness strengthened infrastructure reliability, accelerated innovation, and built long-term trust. 2. The Closed AI Paradigm — Secrecy as Narrative Defense Modern AI companies—especially those relying on large neural networks—operate behind APIs and gated access. This secrecy masks:• brittle model behavior (hallucinations, drift, bias),• lack of explainability or theoretical guarantees,• dependence on narrative hype (“proto-intelligent systems”),• vulnerability to low-cost open-source competitors, and• absence of enduring architectural moats. High-control deployment environments, polished demos, and withheld model details allow firms to project stability while privately managing unpredictable failure modes. The result is a culture of competence theater reminiscent of early financial bubbles: the appearance of inevitability conceals a fragile core. Using Frame Theory and Entropy Law (R), the paper shows why secrecy proliferates in systems lacking Presence (transparent human oversight) and Integrity (grounded, reliable structure). Without these, confidence must be manufactured through narrative rather than earned through architecture. The paper concludes that true resilience in AI will require a shift back toward open protocols, shared standards, reproducible architectures, and transparent governance, paralleling the trajectory that transformed the Internet from a research curiosity into global infrastructure. Secrecy delays collapse but cannot prevent it; only structural robustness can. Keywords: AI Secrecy · Open Standards · Internet Architecture · Model Fragility · Competence Theater · Frame Theory · Entropy Law (R) · AI Governance · Civilization Physics
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Guo Xiangyu
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Guo Xiangyu (Wed,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/694025972d562116f28fec9b — DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17810555