Most of the intracyclic variability in the large-scale solar magnetic field comes from the equatorial dipole component of the solar magnetic field. The equatorial dipole component is highly sensitive to the longitude distribution of the active regions. We quantify the effect of individual active regions on the large-scale solar magnetic field of the solar cycle 24. We study the effect of the longitude distribution of active regions on the strength of the large-scale dipole component. We used a surface flux transport (SFT) model to simulate the evolution of individual active regions and quantified their effect on the large-scale magnetic field using the recently developed vector sum method. We took advantage of the longitudinal translational invariance of the SFT model and compared the observed solar cycle 24 to the 10 000 simulations of the solar cycle 24 using randomized longitudinal source locations, but otherwise identical flux emergence. We find that taking into account both the axial and equatorial components of the vector sum characterizing the global solar magnetic field sets better constraints on the parameter space of the SFT model than, for example, using the axial dipole moment alone as an optimization metric. We studied the maximum of cycle 24 and identified the recurrent and localized flux emergence in the southern hemisphere as the main culprit behind the rapid strengthening of the large-scale magnetic field in late 2014. We find that during the declining phase of the solar cycle, the strength of the large-scale magnetic field stayed above the median level of randomized simulations (p < 0. 027) for 42 subsequent rotations (from September 2014 to November 2017). This indicates that the longitudinal distribution of active regions is not random and, rather, that it demonstrates a tendency for some regions to emerge at longitudes where their equatorial components reinforce the large-scale equatorial field.
Tähtinen et al. (Wed,) studied this question.