Alterations in TP53, PTEN, RB1, and BRCA2 independently associated with poor prognosis, with the strongest co-alterations being PTEN-TP53-RB1 (HR: 9.0, p<0.001).
Do genomic alterations in TP53, PTEN, RB1, and BRCA2, alone or in combination, predict overall survival in patients with prostate cancer?
1114 patients with prostate cancer from the AACR Project GENIE Biopharma Collaborative (BPC) cohort, including subgroups with localized disease at diagnosis (n=837) and metastatic PC with a biopsy collected before or at the time of mPC (n=455).
Presence of genomic alterations in key prostate cancer drivers (BRCA2, TP53, PTEN, RB1) and their co-occurrences.
Overall survivalhard clinical
Genomic alterations in TP53, PTEN, RB1, and BRCA2, particularly in combination such as PTEN-TP53-RB1, are strong independent predictors of poor overall survival in prostate cancer.
Abstract INTRODUCTION: Prostate cancer (PC) shows marked heterogeneity in clinical outcomes, from indolent to highly aggressive disease. Alterations in TP53, PTEN, RB1, and DNA damage repair genes are linked to poor patient outcomes, yet how the interaction and co-occurrence of these alterations impact prognosis remains unclear. We leveraged the AACR Project GENIE prostate cancer cohort to assess the prognostic impact of individual and concomitant gene alterations, focusing on key PC drivers (BRCA2, TP53, PTEN, RB1). METHODS: the study was conducted in two stages: (i) identification of candidate alterations at individual gene level through a systematic literature review, followed by analyzing the prevalence and co-occurrence of genes in the AACR Project GENIE Public Release (PR) dataset. (ii) Prognostic analysis of the pre-selected biomarkers in the AACR Project GENIE Biopharma Collaborative (BPC) cohort. Analyses were performed in three clinical settings (entire BPC cohort, n=1114; subgroup of patients with localized disease at diagnosis, n=837; and subgroup of patients with metastatic PC with a biopsy collected before or at the time of mPC, n=455) using two statistical approaches: univariate analysis (UA) and inverse probability weighting using propensity scores (PS). Cox models were applied to estimate overall survival hazard ratios (HRs). RESULTS: after integrating the findings from the systematic review with the analysis of the GENIE PR (n=5684), 107 individual genes and 122 co-occurring alterations were selected for study. In the GENIE BPC (n=1114 patients) 75% were M0 at diagnosis, and 67% presented metastatic PC at any time. Alteration prevalence was: TP53, 25%; PTEN, 15%; BRCA2, 4%; RB1, 4%; co-alterations included, PTEN-TP53 (6. 4%), RB1-TP53 (2. 1%), PTEN-RB1 (1. 3%), and BRCA2-TP53 (1. 2%). All four key genes showed a statistically significant prognostic impact in the entire cohort with UA (BRCA2, HR: 1. 9; TP53, HR: 2. 6; PTEN, HR: 2. 4; RB1, HR: 4. 1, all p0. 001). Results were consistent in the subgroup analysis and when using PS. Additional genes such as FANCA, PIK3CA, and MYC were also associated with poor outcomes. Among co-alterations, BRCA2-TP53 (HR: 2. 0, p=0. 05), RB1-TP53 (HR: 3. 6, p0. 001), PTEN-TP53 (HR: 2. 4, p0. 001) ; PTEN-RB1 (HR: 5. 5, p0. 001), and PTEN-TP53-RB1 (HR: 9. 0, p0. 001) were the strongest predictors of poor survival, with consistent effects across subgroups and analytical methods. Other combinations including MYC-TP53 (HR 2. 2, p0. 001) and PIK3CA-TP53 (HR 3. 2, p0. 001), also showed independent prognostic value. CONCLUSIONS: Genomic alterations in TP53, PTEN, RB1, and BRCA2, alone and in combination, independently associate with poor prognosis. Co-alteration patterns such as PTEN-TP53-RB1 define aggressive molecular subsets. This evidence supports integrating genomic interaction patterns for enhancing clinical risk models and guiding precision patient management. Furthermore, this study highlights the potential of AACR Project GENIE to enable data-driven development of biomarker-informed patient care strategies. Citation Format: Pablo Cresta Morgado, Victor Navarro, Guillermo Vilacampa, Haitham Alatoom, Manuel Ramos del Rio, Irbaz Riaz, Shawn Sweeney, Nikolaus Schultz, Ken Kehl, Gregory Riely, Wasim Abida, Katherine Panageas, Deborah Schrag, Philippe Bedard, Christine Micheel, Xindi Guo, Chelsea Nayan, Rodrigo Dientsmann, Joaquin Mateo. Genomic prognostic biomarkers in prostate cancer from the AACR GENIE cohort abstract. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Innovations in Prostate Cancer Research and Treatment; 2026 Jan 20-22; Philadelphia PA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86 (2Suppl): Abstract nr A013.
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Pablo Cresta Morgado
Víctor M. Navarro
Guillermo Vilacampa
Cancer Research
Dana-Farber Cancer Institute
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center
Vanderbilt University Medical Center
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Morgado et al. (Tue,) reported a other. Alterations in TP53, PTEN, RB1, and BRCA2 independently associated with poor prognosis, with the strongest co-alterations being PTEN-TP53-RB1 (HR: 9.0, p<0.001).
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/6971bdad642b1836717e25ad — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1158/1538-7445.prostateca26-a013