The war in Ukraine and the independence of Taiwan

Russian invasion of Ukraine in February of 2022 was the most significant military event in Europe following WW2. It took the lives of tens of thousands of civilians and negatively impacted the economies of European countries. Russia will stay adamant for its geopolitical objectives in Ukraine and unless western democracies don’t take a serious standpoint, Russian success will have major geopolitical consequences globally. One of these major geopolitical consequences will be the change of the status quo in the relations between China and Taiwan. China as a reemergent global power seeks to restore its influence in southeast Asia and subsuming Taiwan is a major step for this ambition. Russia´s victory in Ukraine will boost Chinese confidence for its geopolitical aims which will disrupt the balance in the current international order based on the Westphalian system. The purpose of this article is to analyze the current Russo-Ukrainian conflict, China-Taiwan relationship, hypothetical invasion of Taiwan by China, and suggest a framework for the peaceful resolution of the Russo-Ukrainian conflict and prevention of the escalation of the crisis in southeast Asia.