The 2025 Extreme Dust Events in China: Evidence, Attribution, and Implications for Regional Air Quality Assessment

Dust activity is controlled by multiple environmental factors and exhibits substantial spatiotemporal and interannual variability. In spring 2025, China experienced unusually frequent dust storms. Surface meteorological observations and PM10 levels show that dust events in 2025 were the most frequent and intense of the last decade. The dust event analysis indicates a pronounced change in transport pathways, with affected regions extending to Central, Southwest, and South China. This differs markedly from the 2021 and 2023 events, which impacted northern China more broadly. Source attribution indicates that the Gobi Desert was the dominant contributor to downstream dust, accounting for 80.0%, 83.1%, and 78.6% of dust concentrations in North, Southwest, and South China, respectively. In addition, enhanced surface winds over the Gobi Desert were identified as the primary drivers of intensified dust emissions, while concurrent changes in precipitation, soil moisture, and vegetation cover played secondary roles. An anomalous low-pressure system over the Bohai–Yellow Sea facilitated northerly wind anomalies, enabling long-range southward dust transport from the Gobi Desert all the way to southern China. These findings improve our understanding of extreme dust events and emphasize the need to consider both emission strength and transport efficiency in regional air quality assessments.