Railways constitute a core component of China’s national comprehensive transportation network, and their spatial organization and temporal accessibility jointly shape transport integration and system efficiency. Identifying their evolution from the dual perspectives of spatial expansion and time compression is therefore of both theoretical and practical significance. Drawing on fractal theory, this study examines the structural characteristics, evolutionary trends, and driving factors of railway networks in China’s five major urban systems from 2014 to 2024 from a “space–time” dual perspective. The results show that railway networks exhibit a staged pattern of “spatial filling preceding temporal correlation”, with a lag of approximately 1–8 years—about 1 year in the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA), 5 years in the Middle Yangtze River (MYR) region and Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH), and up to 8 years in the Chengdu–Chongqing (CC) region. In addition, clear regional differences are observed: the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is polycentric, with the greatest potential, projected to continue rapid spatial growth until 2027 and to remain in a fast-growth phase of temporal correlation; GBA is highly coordinated; BTH is developed but characterized by dual-core agglomeration; CC grows rapidly with lagging functionality; and MYR is corridor-dependent with limited potential. These findings indicate that network functionality does not emerge synchronously with infrastructure expansion, but depends on subsequent improvements in operational organization and service capacity. Compared with single-scale-based indicators, the “spatial distribution–temporal correlation” framework more effectively captures network performance and provides quantitative support for transport optimization and coordinated regional development.
Fu et al. (Fri,) studied this question.
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