The Necessity of a Human Pilot in eVTOL—Balancing Safety and Autonomy

With the rapid development of electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility, ensuring safe operation in complex low-altitude environments remains a major challenge. In particular, interactions with non-cooperative airspace users introduce uncertainties that are difficult to fully handle with current autonomous systems. To better understand these risks, a Monte Carlo simulation framework is developed to model random encounters between an eVTOL and uncontrolled unmanned aerial vehicles. The results show a relatively low collision probability of approximately 0.18%. However, a large proportion of encounters fall within an intermediate separation range of 100–200 m, indicating a high-frequency conflict region that still requires continuous monitoring and decision-making. Based on these observations, Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is further applied to evaluate system-level safety under different operational architectures, incorporating revised assumptions on human reliability and system interactions. The results suggest that the inclusion of human pilots can contribute to reducing the probability of catastrophic failure compared with fully autonomous configurations, particularly in uncertain and non-cooperative scenarios. These findings suggest that, although full autonomy is a long-term goal, current intelligent systems still face limitations in dealing with uncertain and non-cooperative scenarios in urban airspace. In such situations, human operators can provide additional situational awareness and flexible decision-making, improving overall system robustness. Overall, a phased transition toward full autonomy, starting from a human–machine collaborative approach, appears to be a practical path to ensure safety, support certification, and enable the deployment of eVTOL systems.