368 adults and older adults attending primary care service in a resource-limited country, mean age 60.91±8.97 years, 71.2% female.
10-year cardiovascular risk estimation using the HEARTS risk calculator
10-year stroke risk classification and identification of relevant predictorssurrogate
Implementation of the HEARTS risk calculator in primary care identified that most individuals have an intermediate 10-year stroke risk, driven primarily by modifiable factors like tobacco use and blood pressure.
Abstract Background and aims Risk calculators may provide important insights for stroke prevention. Herein, we aimed to evaluate the 10-year stroke risk calculator in primary care settings in a resource-limited country. Methods Adults and older adults attending primary care service from September, 2021 to November, 2022 in a resource-limited country were invited to participate. They were initially evaluated for comorbidities and vascular risk factors, including estimation of 10-year cardiovascular risk using the HEARTS risk calculator. Linear regression models were used to identify the most relevant predictors of stroke risk. Data are presented as mean± SD. Results A total of 368 individuals were included (60.91±8.97 years of age, 71.2% female). Most participants were classified as having an intermediate 10-year stroke risk (52.2%), followed by low (35.1%), and high risk (12.5%). The 10-year stroke risk was mainly predicted by tobacco use (β 2.17, p0.001), male sex (β 1.36, p0.001), blood pressure (β 0.06, p0.001), physical inactivity (β 1.08, p=0.03), poor diet score (β 0.98, p=0.008), and overweight status (β 0.79, p=0.03) but not by dyslipidemia, diabetes or older age (p0.05). Conclusions In this primary care-based study, most individuals were classified as having an intermediate 10-year risk for stroke. Primary stroke prevention strategies may benefit from the implementation of risk calculations to better target major predictors of stroke within public health policies. Conflict of interest Nothing to disclose
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Wyllians Borelli
Thais Secchi
Francine Wurzius
European Stroke Journal
Hospital Moinhos de Vento
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Borelli et al. (Fri,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/69fd7e79bfa21ec5bbf06a93 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/esj/aakag023.1786