DRAFT version. This is an advanced conditional preprint and remains subject to revision. It does not claim an unconditional resolution of the 3D Navier-Stokes millennium problem; the exclusion of finite-time blow-up is conditional on the stated BV-selection and dissipation-dominance hypotheses. We propose a thermodynamic obstruction to finite-time blow-up in the 3D Navier–Stokes equations. Using a free-energy functional on the global attractor, we derive a conditional regularity criterion: if a BV-regular selection on the attractor exists (Assumption G) and a dissipation-dominance condition holds (Condition D), then finite-time blow-up is excluded. We introduce an EDP-convergence route to selection regularity via rescaled trajectory functionals, Simon's BV compactness lemma, and balanced-viscosity formulations. Numerical validation on the Lorenz attractor confirms that the dissipation-sublevel sets are precompact (DS3 holds). CHANGELOG Changes in Version 2. 2 (May 2026) Major: Post-Zookeeper/RFEP normal-form context and the local v2. 2 candidate state are synchronized for a new Zenodo version while preserving the conditional status of the Navier-Stokes regularity claim. Major: The upload file set is expanded from English and German PDFs to English, German, and combined bilingual PDFs, following the current research-pipeline convention. Minor: Design-check rebuild from 2026-05-07 incorporated: table-of-contents page breaks, overfull boxes, hyperref bookmark warnings, tagged equation anchors, wide table/formula wrapping, and PDF metadata were cleaned up. Minor: One incorrect DOI link was corrected to the verified Journal of Computational Physics DOI 10. 1016/j. jcp. 2024. 112910. Changes in Version 2. 1 (March 2026) Major: Assumption G decomposition into three independent components G₁ (attractor existence, proven), G₂ (projection regularity, open geometric property), G₃ (Gronwall integrability, standard) Major: Circularity concern localised to G₂ alone Changes in Version 2. 0 (March 2026) Critical: Fixed placement (was outside group)
Lukas Geiger (Fri,) studied this question.