ABSTRACT Financial forecasting often treats annual, quarterly, and monthly information in isolation, which harms robustness in volatile markets. We present Time‐integrated Fourier (TiF) , a lightweight framework that fuses annual, quarterly, and monthly signals via energy‐based Fourier encoding and a compact 1D‐CNN backbone with learnable cross‐timescale gating. TiF is evaluated under a standardized rolling‐origin expanding‐window protocol on a core technology benchmark (Apple, Microsoft, Adobe) and further examined on two external validations: (A) a non‐financial EBITDA cohort () and (B) a finance‐sector cohort with ROAA as the target. Across studies, some baselines attain the best single‐metric scores (e.g., a Transformer for , CatBoost for RMSE), whereas TiF delivers consistently strong and balanced performance over /RMSE/MAPE with small variance and modest parameter counts. Ablations quantify the contribution of Fourier bands and each timescale branch, and robustness checks confirm the same qualitative ranking across winsorization/clipping settings. All experiments share identical preprocessing, validation length, and hyperparameter budgets, and we report mean SD across rolling origins and seeds to ensure fair comparison.
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Haomin Zhang
Shenzhen University
Puyu Zhou
Macau University of Science and Technology
Journal of Forecasting
Shenzhen University
Macau University of Science and Technology
Shenzhen Technology University
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Zhang et al. (Tue,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/6a056899a550a87e60a2107f — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/for.70172