Abstract Tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) and North Atlantic (NA) shows pronounced decadal variability linked to the AMO and PDO. We reveal a strong seasonal dependence in their inter‐basin relationship. A robust antiphase appears in autumn (SON), but no significant relationship exists in summer (JJA). The AMO–PDO teleconnection remains active in both seasons, ruling out sea surface temperature (SST) forcing as the cause. Instead, the weak summer linkage arises from substantially reduced decadal coherence of NA TC genesis in JJA, whereas WNP TC variability remains seasonally consistent. The reduced NA TC coherence in JJA coincides with anomalously strong vertical wind shear (VWS), which results from alignment of anomalous winds with the climatological background and suppressed convection due to cooler SST. Hence, the intensified summer shear acts as an environmental filter decoupling the inter‐basin relationship, while weaker autumn shear permits a robust WNP–NA linkage.
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Lixia Pan
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
Jiepeng Chen
Institute of Oceanology
L T Zhou
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
Geophysical Research Letters
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
Institute of Oceanology
South China Sea Institute Of Oceanology
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Pan et al. (Sun,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/6a168b430c924ddd1bd5a1f9 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl122779