Rapid Arctic warming has significantly altered sea ice–atmosphere boundary layer processes, which low-resolution models struggle to resolve accurately. This study evaluates the historical performance (1958–2014) of four high-resolution models from CMIP6 HighResMIP—EC-Earth3P-HR, CNRM-CM6-1-HR, HadGEM3-GC3.1-HH, and Fgoals-f3-H—against ORAS5 and CMEMS reanalysis datasets and examines their physical response to rapid warming under the SSP5-8.5 scenario (2015–2025). Results show substantial intermodel differences in simulating Arctic sea ice thickness, mixed layer depth, sea surface temperature and salinity, and deep convection. HadG-EM3-GC3.1-HH and CNRM-CM6-1-HR perform best overall, reliably reproducing trends in the two major deep convection regions, meridional temperature–salinity gradients, and long-term evolution with lower biases and higher correlations. Under decadal strong warming, models generally simulate shoaling mixed layers in deep convection zones and upper-water destabilization in the Canada Basin, but responses in sea ice, eddy kinetic energy, and transect temperature–salinity vary markedly. HadGEM3-GC3.1-HH and CNRM-CM6-1-HR better represent physical quantities and ocean stratification consistent with observed real-world responses. We conclude that these two models are more suitable for studies of Arctic sea ice–atmosphere boundary layer changes and deep convection, providing a basis for high-resolution model selection and Arctic climate projection.
Li et al. (Thu,) studied this question.