The contact performance of automotive airbag electrical connectors directly affects the stable conduction of the initiator circuit, yet sufficient failure data are difficult to obtain for such long-life safety-critical components. This study develops a degradation model for connectors with stainless-steel pins, beryllium-bronze sockets, and Ni/Au composite coatings, using the contact resistance increment as the degradation measure. Considering the accumulation of oxidation corrosion products under thermal stress, as well as the local film rupture and re-oxidation induced by fretting wear under combined temperature-vibration stress, a nonlinear time scale tα is introduced to describe the nonlinear growth of contact resistance. A random-drift nonlinear Wiener process is then constructed: the diffusion term represents local fluctuations within each sample trajectory, while the random drift rate captures growth-rate differences among samples. Parameter estimation was performed using degradation data obtained from 160 °C high-temperature and 160 °C temperature-vibration accelerated degradation tests. The estimation results show that the stress-class-specific time-scale model better reflects the different degradation mechanisms than a common time-scale model, and that the temperature-vibration group exhibits higher resistance growth and stronger trajectory fluctuations. Model diagnostics support the description of the main increment distribution and sample-to-sample differences, while EDS and XPS results provide supplementary evidence for oxidation-related surface composition changes and coating-state evolution.
Zhou et al. (Tue,) studied this question.