Accurate Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) position estimation is the cornerstone of urban low-altitude safety management systems. Time Difference of Arrival (TDOA) and Remote Identification (Remote ID) are widely used surveillance technologies with complementary characteristics. TDOA provides high-rate updates but suffers from geometry-induced horizontal–vertical anisotropy and multipath effects, while Remote ID supplies absolute state information yet struggles with intermittent sampling and packet loss. Existing fusion schemes typically address these issues in isolation: sequential filtering manages asynchrony but assumes Gaussian noise, robust estimators suppress outliers at the cost of discarding valid data, and coupled-filter architectures allow vertical anomalies to contaminate horizontal estimates through the Kalman gain cross-coupling. No prior framework jointly handles structural TDOA altitude jumps, stochastic Remote ID timing jitter, and the geometric anisotropy between estimation subspaces within a single coherent pipeline. To bridge this gap, we propose a Hybrid Conditional Kalman Filter (HCKF) framework comprising three integrated modules. First, a kinematics-based temporal alignment module maps asynchronous measurements onto a uniform timeline and predicts missing samples, resolving cross-modal time mismatches. Second, a measurement quality evaluation mechanism detects TDOA altitude steps via robust two-layer stratification and scores Remote ID timing irregularity through a confidence mapping, converting these anomalies into dynamic covariance adjustments and weight caps without discarding observations. Third, a Subspace-Decoupled Fusion strategy exploits the physical insight that TDOA horizontal precision derives from hyperbolic intersection geometry, whereas its vertical estimates suffer from weak observability due to near-coplanar ground-station deployment . By applying entropy-guided weighting in the horizontal plane and a conditional Remote ID-dominant rule in the vertical axis, this design prevents cross-dimensional error propagation. The framework was validated using three real-world flight missions at distinct altitudes (255 m, 345 m, and 440 m) totaling 13.51 km of flight distance, with RTK serving as ground truth. HCKF reduces the Root Mean Square Error by over 40% relative to single-source baselines (95% bootstrap confidence interval: 35.2%, 48.7%), and paired Wilcoxon signed-rank tests confirm statistically significant improvement (p<0.01) over standard EKF, Covariance Intersection, and Iterative CI across all three tracks.
Xu et al. (Thu,) studied this question.