This AI-assisted integrative literature review, grounded in complexity theory, examines how existing scholarship conceptualizes the potential of scenario planning to support future-ready mindsets, shared language, symbolic anchors, and adaptive capacity in educational leadership. Using the Consensus AI-assisted research synthesis platform, peer-reviewed literature was identified, ranked for semantic relevance, and screened in relation to three guiding questions focused on scenario planning, VUCA leadership, shared language, and professional learning. From an initial corpus of 2092 papers, 100 high-relevance studies were purposively selected for full review and analyzed through narrative thematic synthesis. Findings suggest that scenario planning may contribute to foresight, adaptability, and communicative capacity when facilitated inclusively and used iteratively with an equity focus. When treated as an ongoing practice rather than a one-time planning exercise, scenario planning appears to offer a promising structure for cultivating adaptive, innovative leadership capable of navigating complex educational change.
Penner et al. (Thu,) studied this question.