Backgrounds Radon is the second leading cause of lung cancer, accounting for 3%–14% of cases worldwide. Aim To assess global and national trends in tracheal, bronchial, and lung (TBL) cancer attributable to residential radon from 1990 to 2021 and to project trends up to 2046. Methods The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data were utilized to analyze TBL cancer burden by sex and age, focusing on the Top 20 granite and marble‐consuming countries. Age‐standardized rates, average annual percentage change (AAPC), and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated. Age–period–cohort (APC) analysis and Bayesian age–period–cohort (BAPC) modeling were applied for trend analysis and forecasting. Results In 2021, the global age‐standardized disability‐adjusted life years (ASDR) and mortality (ASMR) rates of TBL cancer attributable to residential radon were 30.47 and 1.34 per 100,000 individuals, respectively. From 1990 to 2021, ASDR and ASMR declined globally (AAPC ASDR : −1.19, 95% CI: −1.22, −1.16 and AAPC ASMR : −0.88, 95% CI: −0.91, −0.86). The burden remained higher among males and older adults. However, China and India exhibited increasing trends, particularly among females and the elderly. Projections suggested a continued global decline up to 2046. Conclusion Although there was a global decrease in burdens of residential radon–attributable TBL cancer, males and older populations remain disproportionately affected, underscoring the need for targeted public health interventions.
Li et al. (Thu,) studied this question.