Background/Objectives: Acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) is a time-dependent condition associated with exceptionally high in-hospital mortality, particularly among elderly and comorbid patients. Early identification of patients at high risk of death remains challenging and has important implications for clinical decision-making. The objective of this study was to derive and internally validate a prognostic score for in-hospital mortality of patients with AMI. Materials and Methods: We conducted a multicenter, observational, retrospective cohort study including patients with AMI from 10 participating hospitals. A descriptive and analytical approach was performed. A Classification and Regression Tree (CART) model was used to determine cut-off points for continuous variables and assess their association with mortality. Based on these thresholds, a univariate analysis was performed, and variables with statistical significance (p 65 years, pH 1.7 mg/dL, and absence of rectal bleeding. These variables were incorporated into the multivariate model. The resulting score showed an area under the ROC curve of 0.78 (95% CI: 0.74–0.82). Conclusions: The RADIAL score demonstrated robust predictive performance and allowed the identification of three mortality-risk groups: 30–40% (low), 50–60% (intermediate), and 80% (high). This tool may support clinical decision-making in the management of patients with AMI.
Guerra et al. (Fri,) studied this question.