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March 12, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Topological Data Analysis for Power-Grid Forecasting in South Africa Employing Finite-Element Discretization and Error Bounds

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ZMZola MotsiNDN. DlaminiSMSipho Mathebula

Key Points

  • This paper aims to improve predictive accuracy in power-grid forecasting using Topological Data Analysis and finite-element methods.
  • Utilized Topological Data Analysis to analyze power-grid behavior.
  • Applied finite-element methods to discretize the power-grid model.
  • Derived error bounds based on approximation theory principles.
  • Explored the impact of discretization errors on forecasting accuracy.
  • Identified that 75% of forecasting errors stemmed from discretization imperfections.
  • Demonstrated the effectiveness of TDA in enhancing predictive accuracy.
  • Highlighted the need for refining the finite-element model to improve forecasting.

Abstract

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is a method used for data analysis that relies on topological concepts such as persistence diagrams and Vietoris-Rips complexes to capture geometric and topological features of datasets. Finite-element methods were utilised to discretize the power-grid model into manageable components. Error bounds were derived based on the principles of approximation theory, ensuring the accuracy of our TDA-based predictions. A significant proportion (75%) of errors in forecasting grid behaviour could be attributed to imperfections in the finite-element discretization process, highlighting the need for further refinement. The application of TDA with error bounds in South African power-grid forecasting demonstrates a novel method for improving predictive accuracy and reliability. Future research should focus on refining the finite-element model and exploring alternative data analysis techniques to enhance forecasting precision. The analytical core is yₜ=F (xₜ;) with =argmin_L (), and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.

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Cite This Study

Motsi et al. (2011) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b2586696eeacc4fcec7f96https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18928008
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