Data Inventory and Location of Seismic Signals Recorded During the 2021 Unrest on the Island of Vulcano, Italy

Since September 2021, numerous seismic events with spectral peaks below 1 Hz occurred on the island of Vulcano, Italy, 131 years after its last eruption. The local monitoring network recorded microseismicity mostly in the form of months-long swarms, concurrent with anomalous values of other geophysical and geochemical parameters. By applying a machine learning technique (Self-Organizing Maps, SOMs), we obtained an inventory of ~6600 seismic signals, identifying and separating exogenous signals (anthropic noise) from distinct families of events. These families were located below La Fossa Crater (where the last eruption of the volcano happened) from the surface to a depth of 2.2 km b.s.l. Based on the seismic signature and source location of these events, we hypothesize unsealed/sealed processes through a network of shallow fractures favored by fluid pressure. After the return to background values of geochemical and geophysical parameters in 2023, a resumption of microseismicity occurred between May and June 2024. A test application of the SOM to the new data confirmed the non-destructive source of the new recorded signals, which shared families, location, and depths with our previous inventory. This test showed that SOM can be an effective tool for supporting real-time monitoring and warning of future unrest at Vulcano.