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April 11, 2020American Journal of Epidemiology25 citationsOpen Access

Cardiovascular Disease and All-Cause Mortality in Male Twins With Discordant Cardiorespiratory Fitness: A Nationwide Cohort Study

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MBMarcel BallinANAnna NordströmPNPeter Nordström

Key Result

Higher cardiorespiratory fitness was not associated with a lower risk of incident CVD and all-cause mortality among discordant twin pairs (HR 1.00; 95% CI 0.83-1.20), suggesting genetic and familial confounding.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=1,212,295)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does higher cardiorespiratory fitness reduce incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in men when controlling for genetic and familial factors?

P
Population
1,212,295 men aged 18 years conscripted for military service in Sweden (1972-1996), forming 4,260 twin pairs with discordant cardiorespiratory fitness and 90,331 matched nonsibling pairs with discordant cardiorespiratory fitness.
I
Intervention
Higher cardiorespiratory fitness (fitter twin/man)
C
Comparator
Lower cardiorespiratory fitness (less fit twin/man)
O
Outcome
Incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortalityhard clinical

The protective association between cardiorespiratory fitness and cardiovascular disease/mortality appears to be heavily influenced by genetic and familial factors, as the benefit was absent in discordant twin pairs.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 1.00 (95% CI 0.83-1.20)

Absolute Event Rate: 5.77% vs 5.89%

Abstract

Whether genetic and familial factors influence the association between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is unknown. Two cohorts were formed based on data from 1,212,295 men aged 18 years who were conscripted for military service in Sweden during 1972-1996. The first comprised 4,260 twin pairs in which the twins in each pair had different CRF (≥1 watt). The second comprised 90,331 nonsibling pairs with different CRF and matched on birth year and year of conscription. Incident CVD and all-cause mortality were identified using national registers. During follow-up (median 32 years), there was no difference in CVD and mortality between fitter twins and less fit twins (246 vs. 251 events; hazard ratio (HR) = 1.00, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.83, 1.20). The risks were similar in twin pairs with ≥60-watt difference in CRF (HR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.57, 1.64). In contrast, in the nonsibling cohort, fitter men had a lower risk of the outcomes than less fit men (4,444 vs. 5,298 events; HR = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.79, 0.86). The association was stronger in pairs with ≥60-watt difference in CRF (HR = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.59, 0.71). These findings indicate that genetic and familial factors influence the association of CRF with CVD and mortality.

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Cite This Study

Ballin et al. (2020) conducted a cohort in Cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality (n=1,212,295). Higher cardiorespiratory fitness vs. Lower cardiorespiratory fitness was evaluated on Incident CVD and all-cause mortality (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.83-1.20). Higher cardiorespiratory fitness was not associated with a lower risk of incident CVD and all-cause mortality among discordant twin pairs (HR 1.00; 95% CI 0.83-1.20), suggesting genetic and familial confounding.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a10f095660e36c398f3999chttps://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwaa060
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