Do baseline ECG amplitudes predict blood pressure change and subsequent hypertension in normotensive men?
Baseline ECG amplitudes are significant predictors of future blood pressure increases and incident hypertension in initially normotensive men.
A total of 1,090 male participants (aged 23 to 80 years) of the Normative Aging Study who had baseline BP less than 140/90 mm Hg were observed prospectively for ten years. Blood pressures were taken at five- and ten-year follow-up examinations. Multiple linear regression analysis indicated that baseline levels of systolic pressure, age, R-wave amplitude (aVL), hematocrit, T-wave amplitude (V5), and S-wave amplitude (V4, V5, and V6) were statistically significant predictors of systolic pressure change. Baseline levels of diastolic pressure, R-wave amplitude (aVL), and hematocrit were statistically significant predictors of diastolic pressure change. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that baseline levels of BP, S-wave amplitude (V1, V2, and V3), body mass index, R-wave amplitude (V4, V5, and V6), and T-wave amplitude (V5) were statistically significant predictors of subsequent hypertension. Whether the identified ECG amplitudes are an indicator of early increases in peripheral resistance or a function of neurohumoral factors, or both, is unknown.
David Sparrow (Fri,) studied this question.