Patrick T. Brandt, John T. Williams, Benjamin O. Fordham, Brain Pollins, Dynamic Modeling for Persistent Event-Count Time Series, American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 44, No. 4 (Oct., 2000), pp. 823-843

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Brandt et al. (Sun,) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1ddab9c238e2f45834f311 https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2307/2669284

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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

1Politics at the Water's Edge: Parties, Voters, and the Use of Force Abroad1998 · 155 citations
2Regression Analysis of Count Data2013 · 6,456 citations
3Three-way street1990 · 23 citations
4Unifying Political Methodology: The Likelihood Theory of Statistical Inference1989 · 723 citations
5The effect of provocation on foreign policy response: A test of the matching hypothesis1992 · 5 citations