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August 7, 20251 citations

Development and Validation of Pneumonia Patients Prognosis Prediction Model in Emergency Department Disposition Time

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SHSun-Jin HwangSHSejin HeoSHSungjun Hong

Key Points

  • MAIN FINDING: An artificial intelligence model predicts 28-day mortality for pneumonia patients in emergency departments.
  • KEY EVIDENCE: The RSF model using chest X-ray and clinical data scored a C-index of 0.872, outperforming the CURB-65 score.
  • APPROACH: Data from 2,874 ED visits were analyzed in a multicenter retrospective study using multiple clinical inputs.
  • SIGNIFICANCE: The model supports clinical decision-making in emergency departments, potentially improving patient outcomes.

Abstract

This study aimed to develop and evaluate an artificial intelligence model to predict 28-day mortality of pneumonia patients at the time of disposition from emergency department (ED). A multicenter retrospective study was conducted on data from pneumonia patients who visited the ED of a tertiary academic hospital for 8 months and from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database. We combined chest X-ray information, clinical data, and CURB-65 score to develop three models with the CURB-65 score as a baseline. A total of 2,874 ED visits were analyzed. The RSF model using CXR, clinical data and CURB-65 achieved a C-index of 0.872 in test set, significantly outperforming the CURB-65 score. This study developed a prediction model in pneumonia patients’ prognosis, highlighting the potential for supporting clinical decision making in ED through multi-modal clinical information.

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Cite This Study

Hwang et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/689dfe90d61984b91e13bb9fhttps://doi.org/10.3233/shti250898
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