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August 16, 20254 citationsOpen Access

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Precision Medicine Reveals Prognostic Impact of TGF-Beta Pathway Alterations in FOLFOX-Treated Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Among Disproportionately Affected Populations

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FDFernando C. DiazBWBrigette WaldrupFCFrancisco Carranza

Key Points

  • TGF-beta pathway alterations predicted poorer survival in FOLFOX-treated early-onset Hispanic/Latino colorectal cancer patients, indicating a risk factor for this group.
  • 28-39% of Hispanic/Latino patients and 23-31% of non-Hispanic white patients showed TGF-beta pathway alterations, with SMAD4 as the main driver.
  • The study utilized AI platforms to analyze 2,515 colorectal cancer cases, facilitating multi-parameter integration of treatment and genetic data.
  • TGF-beta pathway alterations may represent a specific biomarker of poor prognosis, indicating personalized treatment strategies for different ancestries.

Abstract

Abstract Early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC; <50 years) incidence is increasing most rapidly among Hispanic/Latino (H/L) populations. While the transforming growth factor–beta (TGF-β) pathway influences colorectal cancer (CRC) progression, its prognostic role in FOLFOX-treated EOCRC, particularly in H/L patients, is unclear. We analyzed 2,515 CRC cases (H/L = 266; NHW = 2,249) stratified by ancestry, age at onset, and FOLFOX treatment using Fisher’s exact, chi-square, and Kaplan–Meier analyses. We then applied AI-HOPE and AI-HOPE-TGFβ, conversational artificial intelligence (AI) platforms that integrate clinical, genomic, and treatment data, to perform complex, natural language–driven queries requiring multi-parameter integration. TGF-β pathway alterations occurred in 28–39% of H/L and 23–31% of NHW patients, with SMAD4 as the predominant driver. BMPR1A mutations were enriched in FOLFOX-treated EO H/L patients (5.5% vs. 1.1% EO NHW; p = 0.0272), while late-onset NHW non-FOLFOX cases had higher SMAD2/TGFBR2 mutation rates. In FOLFOX-treated EO H/L patients, TGF-β pathway alterations predicted poorer survival (p = 0.029); no survival impact was seen in other groups. SMAD4 mutations were less frequent in EO H/L than EO NHW receiving FOLFOX (2.74% vs. 13.87%; p = 0.013). TGF-β pathway alterations may serve as an ancestry- and treatment-specific biomarker of poor prognosis in FOLFOX-treated EO H/L CRC. AI-enabled integration accelerated biomarker discovery, supporting precision medicine.

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Cite This Study

Diaz et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68af4cd8ad7bf08b1ead6160https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.08.11.25333363
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