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August 22, 2025Environmental Research Letters9 citationsOpen Access

Compounding droughts and floods amplify socio-economic impacts

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KWKoffi WorouGMGabriele Messori

Key Points

  • Economic losses from compound drought-flood events are potentially eight times greater than isolated incidents, highlighting severe implications for affected populations.
  • Data from multiple disaster databases, including EM-DAT and DesInventar, provided insights into the worsening impacts over time and their broader scope in recent decades.
  • The observed increase in impact ratios underscores the growing risk of compound climate extremes, necessitating urgent policy interventions to manage socio-economic fallout.
  • Addressing these risks is crucial as higher intensity drought-flood events emerge, particularly amid ongoing climate change challenges.

Abstract

Abstract In recent years, compound climate and weather extremes have received significant attention due to the heightened threat they pose to the environment, human societies, and the economy. This study investigates the impacts of compound drought-flood (CDF) extremes using data from two widely-used disaster databases: the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) and its geocoded version (GDIS), along with the DesInventar database. The analysis covers the period from 1960 to 2018, consistent with GDIS' temporal coverage. CDF events are defined as instances where drought and flood hazards occur concurrently or sequentially, with a flood taking place during a drought period or within four months of its end.Our findings for the global extratropics reveal that the economic losses and the number of affected people resulting from compound drought-flood events are up to eight times higher than those ascribed to isolated droughts or floods, with a confidence interval ranging from one to twelve. Similar qualitative results emerge from DesInventar and EM-DAT, albeit with some quantitative differences. Furthermore, impact ratios have increased in more recent decades compared to earlier periods, emphasizing the increasing impacts of the drought-flood compound events.These results highlight the amplified negative impacts when droughts and floods occur concomitantly or sequentially, underscoring the need for targeted policies to address their socioeconomic risks, particularly under changing climatic conditions.

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Cite This Study

Worou et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68af540fad7bf08b1eadb157https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adfe82
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