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August 24, 2025Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics0 citationsOpen Access

Estimating Aggregate Relationships in Panel Data via the LASSO

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JWJoakim WesterlundLMLuca Margaritella

Key Points

  • The use of LASSO allows for accurate estimation of aggregate relationships despite unobserved heterogeneity, showcasing its efficiency.
  • Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that under certain conditions, the LASSO estimator is oracle efficient and selection consistent in small samples.
  • This approach reveals that when regressors and dependent variables share latent factors, aggregation sufficiently manages the unobserved heterogeneity.
  • Illustrated through the example of the gravity equation of trade, the empirical usefulness of this estimator is confirmed in practical applications.

Abstract

ABSTRACT This article is concerned with the estimation of aggregate relationships among a potentially large number of panel data variables in the presence of unobserved heterogeneity in the form of interactive effects, an empirically very relevant scenario that has not been considered before. One of our findings is that if the regressors load on the same set of latent factors as the dependent variable, which seems a priori likely since many variables are co‐moving, the aggregation automatically accounts for the unobserved heterogeneity. In order to also account for the many regressors, the aggregate model is estimated using a version of LASSO. It is shown that under suitable regulatory conditions, the estimator is oracle efficient and selection consistent, properties that are verified in small samples using Monte Carlo simulations. The empirical usefulness of the estimator is illustrated using as an example the gravity equation of trade.

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Cite This Study

Westerlund et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68af5f07ad7bf08b1eae17bchttps://doi.org/10.1111/obes.70009
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