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September 28, 2025JGH Open2 citationsOpen Access

Trends and Demographics of Liver Fibrosis and Cirrhosis‐Related Mortality Among Adults Living in the United States From 1999 to 2020: A CDC Wonder Analysis

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MSMuhammad ShahzadSBSyeda Sundus Shah BokhariFRFnu Rabia

Key Points

  • Liver cirrhosis-related mortality has increased from 1999 to 2020, with significant disparities observed.
  • Annual average mortality rate rose from 16.61 in 1999 to 18.93 in 2020, showing a concerning upward trend.
  • Joinpoint regression was used to analyze mortality data from death certificates in the CDC WONDER database.
  • Targeted prevention efforts are essential to address the rising mortality rates among high-risk groups identified.

Abstract

ABSTRACT Introduction Liver cirrhosis, the fifth leading cause of adult mortality, involves progressive, irreversible liver fibrosis and loss of function. Its rising prevalence necessitates studying trends, identifying high‐risk groups, and enhancing preventive strategies. This study aims to assess temporal trends and demographic disparities in liver fibrosis and cirrhosis‐related mortality in the United States from 1999 to 2020. Methods Death certificates from the CDC WONDER(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide‐Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research) database for 1999–2020 were analyzed for liver fibrosis and cirrhosis‐associated mortality in adults > 25 years. AAMRs per 100 000 were stratified by year, sex, race/ethnicity, and region. Joinpoint Regression (v5.3.0.0) calculated annual percent change (APC) and average APC (AAPC), identifying significant trends ( p 25. AAMR increased from 16.61 (1999) to 18.93 (2020). Men had a higher AAMR (21.51; 95% CI: 21.44 to 21.57) than women (11.73; 95% CI: 11.68 to 11.77). AAMRs were highest in Non‐Hispanic (NH) American Indian (26.42; 95% CI: 25.91 to 26.93) followed by Hispanics (24.93; 95% CI: 24.77 to 25.09), NH White (16.71; 95% CI: 16.67 to 16.75), NH Black (15.13; 95% CI: 15.02 to 15.24), and NH Asian/Pacific Islander (9.29; 95% CI: 9.15 to 9.42). By region, the South had the highest AAMR (18.87; 95% CI: 18.8 to 18.93), followed by the West (15.75; 95% CI: 15.67 to 15.82), Midwest (14.55; 95% CI: 14.47 to 14.62), and Northeast (14.17; 95% CI: 14.1 to 14.25). Micropolitan (Nonmetro) areas had the highest AAMR (17.62; 95% CI: 17.49 to 17.74), while Large Fringe Metro Areas had the lowest AAMR (14.2; 95% CI: 14.13 to 14.27). Texas reported the highest AAMR (25.7); Nebraska reported the lowest (9.4). Discussion Liver cirrhosis‐related mortality has risen since 1999, especially among Hispanic adults, men, and those in Southern or nonmetropolitan regions. Targeted prevention is needed to reduce mortality in these high‐risk groups.

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Cite This Study

Shahzad et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68d90a0141e1c178a14f614dhttps://doi.org/10.1002/jgh3.70247
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