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September 30, 2025Hydrology and earth system sciences4 citationsOpen Access

Assessing multivariate bias corrections of climate simulations on various impact models under climate change

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DADenis AllardMVMathieu VracBFBastien François

Key Points

  • CDF-t performs reasonably well in correcting climate simulation biases across various scenarios.
  • The effectiveness of multivariate bias correction methods varies based on the characteristics of the studied processes.
  • dOTC in its spatial-intervariable configuration shows improvements in most situations while maintaining strong performance.
  • No configuration of dOTC was found to perform worse than CDF-t in multivariate contexts.

Abstract

Abstract. Atmospheric variables simulated from climate models often present biases relative to the same variables calculated by reanalysis in the past. In order to use these models to assess the impact of climate change on processes of interest, it is necessary to correct these biases. Currently, the bias correction methods used operationally correct one-dimensional time series and are therefore applied separately, physical variable by physical variable and site by site. Multivariate bias correction methods have been developed to better take into account dependencies between variables and in space. Although the performance of multivariate bias correction methods for adjusting the statistical properties of simulated climate variables has already been evaluated, their effectiveness for different impact models has been little investigated. In this work, we propose a comparison between two multivariate bias correction methods (R2D2 and dOTC) in three different configurations (intervariable, spatial and spatial-intervariable) and a univariate correction (CDF-t) through several highly multivariate impact models (phenological stage, reference evapotranspiration, soil water content, fire weather index) integrating the weather conditions over a whole season. Our results show that CDF-t does a fair job in most situations and that there is no single best MBC method. The performances of multivariate bias correction methods depend both on some characteristics of the studied process and on the configuration of the chosen bias correction method. When all characteristics are important (multivariate, time cumulative and spatial) it is found that dOTC in its spatial-intervariable configuration brings improvements in most cases and no significant improvement in some rare cases. We did not find any multivariate cases where the spatial-intervariable configuration for dOTC performs less well than CDF-t.

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Cite This Study

Allard et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68dc261d8a7d58c25ebb2c5bhttps://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4711-2025
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