Association of trauma classifications to long-term outcome in blunt trauma patients

Abstract Purpose The impact of major trauma is long lasting. Although polytrauma patients are currently identified with the Berlin polytrauma criteria, data on long-term outcomes are not available. In this study, we evaluated the association of trauma classification with long-term outcome in blunt-trauma patients. Methods A trauma registry of a level I trauma centre was used for patient identification from 1.1.2006 to 31.12.2015. Patients were grouped as follows: (1) all severely injured trauma patients; (2) all severely injured polytrauma patients; 2a) severely injured patients with AIS ≥ 3 on two different body regions (Berlin-); 2b) severely injured patients with polytrauma and a physiological criterion (Berlin+); and (3) a non-polytrauma group. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to estimate differences in mortality between different groups. Results We identified 3359 trauma patients for this study. Non-polytrauma was the largest group (2380 70.9% patients). A total of 500 (14.9%) patients fulfilled the criteria for Berlin + definition, leaving 479 (14.3%) polytrauma patients in Berlin- group. Berlin + patients had the highest short-term mortality compared with other groups, although the difference in cumulative mortality gradually plateaued compared with the non-polytrauma patient group; at the end of the 10-year follow up, the non-polytrauma group had the greatest mortality due to the high number of patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI). Conclusion Excess mortality of polytrauma patients by Berlin definition occurs in the early phase (30-day mortality) and late deaths are rare. TBI causes high early mortality followed by increased long-term mortality.