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Significance The presidential contest, which traditionally does not gain voter attention until after the summer, will move to new level of engagement this week with the candidate debate, followed by former President Donald Trump’s sentencing next month and the party conventions in July and August. Impacts Congress remains in session until early August and each party will force votes designed to put the other in positions difficult to defend. Democrats will throw considerable organisational support behind several state referendums that would guarantee abortion access. Biden will be disadvantaged in the battleground states of Georgia and North Carolina by the lack of help from a Senate campaign.
A 2024 study studied this question.