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October 9, 20251 citationsOpen Access

Beyond Predictions: A Participatory Framework for Multi-Stakeholder Decision-Making

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VVVittoria VineisGPGiuseppe PerelliGTGabriele Tolomei

Key Points

  • The framework consistently produces stakeholder-aware decisions that outperform purely predictive baselines across multiple metrics.
  • Using k-fold cross-validation, the modular framework fine-tunes prediction models and evaluates decision strategies effectively.
  • This participatory approach reframes decision-making as a multi-stakeholder optimization problem, integrating diverse preferences.
  • Validated with two high-stake case studies, it enhances accountability in AI-supported decision-making processes.

Abstract

Conventional automated decision-support systems, often based on supervised learning, focus on predicting outcomes to recommend actions. However, they typically overlook the complexity of multi-actor environments, where diverse and conflicting stakeholder preferences must be balanced. At the same time, participatory AI approaches remain largely context-specific, limiting their broader applicability. To address these gaps, we propose a participatory framework that reframes decision-making as a multi-stakeholder optimization problem, using context-dependent reward functions to represent each actor's preferences. Our modular, model-agnostic framework employs k-fold cross-validation to fine-tune user-provided prediction models and evaluate decision strategies, including compromise functions that mediate stakeholder trade-offs. A synthetic scoring mechanism aggregates user-defined preferences across multiple metrics to rank strategies and select an optimal decision-maker for generating actionable recommendations on new data. Validated on two high-stake real-world case studies, the framework consistently produces stakeholder-aware decisions that outperform purely predictive baselines across multiple metrics, while enhancing the transparency and accountability of AI-supported decision-making.

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Cite This Study

Vineis et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68e8439a9989581a2fd4e189https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2502.08542
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