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October 10, 20250 citationsOpen Access

Opinion dynamics: Statistical physics and beyond

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MSMichele StarniniFBFabian BaumannTGTobias Galla

Key Points

  • Consensus and fragmentation emerge from localized interactions, influenced by statistical physics principles.
  • The review integrates empirical research, including lab experiments and behavioral data analysis, to validate models.
  • It categorizes individual-based models by macroscopic phenomena like polarization and microscopic mechanisms such as homophily.
  • Emerging frontiers like AI agents and empirical data connections are explored to shape future research in opinion dynamics.

Abstract

Opinion dynamics, the study of how individual beliefs and collective public opinion evolve, is a fertile domain for applying statistical physics to complex social phenomena. Like physical systems, societies exhibit macroscopic regularities from localized interactions, leading to outcomes such as consensus or fragmentation. This field has grown significantly, attracting interdisciplinary methods and driven by a surge in large-scale behavioral data. This review covers its rapid progress, bridging the literature dispersion. We begin with essential concepts and definitions, encompassing the nature of opinions, microscopic and macroscopic dynamics. This foundation leads to an overview of empirical research, from lab experiments to large-scale data analysis, which informs and validates models of opinion dynamics. We then present individual-based models, categorized by their macroscopic phenomena (e.g., consensus, polarization, echo chambers) and microscopic mechanisms (e.g., homophily, assimilation). We also review social contagion phenomena, highlighting their connection to opinion dynamics. Furthermore, the review covers common analytical and computational tools, including stochastic processes, treatments, simulations, and optimization. Finally, we explore emerging frontiers, such as connecting empirical data to models and using AI agents as testbeds for novel social phenomena. By systematizing terminology and emphasizing analogies with traditional physics, this review aims to consolidate knowledge, provide a robust theoretical foundation, and shape future research in opinion dynamics.

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Cite This Study

Starnini et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68e861857ef2f04ca37e399chttps://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2507.11521
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