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October 17, 2025The Bangladesh Development Studies0 citations

Money, Structuralism, and the International Monetary Fund: An Auto-Regression Assessment of the Controversy

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AMAbdul Momen

Key Points

  • Money supply is found to be endogenous in less-developed nations, impacting inflation differently than in industrial economies.
  • The study analyzed data from 1958 to 1985 across ten industrial and agricultural economies, revealing key differences in inflation causes.
  • Evidence indicates that financial sector maturity and industrialization level are pivotal for understanding inflation in developing contexts.
  • Findings challenge IMF policy effectiveness, calling for tailored approaches as financial structures improve in less-developed nations.

Abstract

Since the mid-nineteen fifties, two opposing schools of development thought, one known as the monetarist and the other as structuralist, have been engaged in a debate regarding the principal causes of inflation. The monetarists believe money supply is the prime cause of inflation, while the structuralists contend that inflation is a consequence of structural rigidities in developing economies and that inflation is a necessary concomitant of the major efforts launched to induce growth and development in poorer nations. In this study we have analyzed data from 1958 to 1985 for ten (10) industrial and agricultural economies to examine our hypothesis that it is the level and nature of industrialization and maturity in the financial sectors which explain divergent empirical evidence others have found in their studies. Our evidence indicates money supply is endogenous in less-developed nations while it is exogenous in the industrial economies and antecedent to inflation. In light of our findings, we suggest the IMF policy prescriptions for less-developed economies are not likely to be effective or relevant in such nations until their financial structures and levels of industrialization have improved.

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Cite This Study

Abdul Momen (1992) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68f19f24de32064e504de217https://doi.org/10.57138/cuht4070
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