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December 12, 2025Systems0 citationsOpen Access

Integrated Subjective–Objective Weighting and Fuzzy Decision Framework for FMEA-Based Risk Assessment of Wind Turbines

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ZLZhiyong LiYWYihan WangYXYu Xu

Key Points

  • This research addresses the limitations in traditional FMEA risk assessment methods for wind turbines.
  • Developed a combined subjective-objective weighting model using analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method.
  • Established a fuzzy decision-making model based on interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy numbers and VIKOR for risk rankings.
  • Optimized weighting of severity, occurrence, and detection indicators to enhance fault detection.
  • Achieved a 90% overlap in detected failure modes with Monte Carlo simulation results, indicating high accuracy.
  • The proposed framework shows improved performance over traditional methods in risk assessment.

Abstract

Accurate fault risk assessment is essential for maintaining wind turbine reliability. Traditional failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA)-based approaches struggle to handle the fuzziness, uncertainty, and conflicting nature of multi-criteria evaluations, which may lead to delayed fault detection and increased maintenance risks. To address these limitations, this paper proposes an enhanced risk assessment framework that integrates subjective-objective weighting and fuzzy decision-making. First, a combined subjective–objective weighting (CSOW) model with adaptive fusion is developed by integrating the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the entropy weight method (EWM). The CSOW model optimizes the weighting of severity (S), occurrence (O), and detection (D) indicators by balancing expert knowledge and data-driven information. Second, a fuzzy decision-making model based on interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy numbers and VIKOR (IVIFN-VIKOR) is established to represent expert evaluations and determine risk rankings. Notably, the overlap rate between the top 10 failure modes identified by the proposed method and a fault-tree-based Monte Carlo simulation incorporating mean time between failures (MTBF) and mean time to repair (MTTR) reaches 90%, substantially higher than other methods. This confirms the superior performance of the framework and provides enterprises with a systematic approach for risk assessment and maintenance planning.

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Cite This Study

Li et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6940190c2d562116f28f63a2https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13121118
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