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December 21, 20250 citationsOpen Access

Adaptive, Robust and Scalable Bayesian Filtering for Online Learning

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GDGerardo Duràn-Martín

Key Points

  • To develop Bayesian filtering tools that effectively handle challenges in online learning and dynamic models.
  • Introduced a modular framework for adaptive online learning approaches.
  • Developed a robust filter using Generalised Bayes with similar costs to standard filters.
  • Created tools for updating model parameters with approximate second-order optimisation methods.
  • Showed improved performance in dynamic and high-dimensional models.
  • Addressed robustness to model misspecification and outliers.

Abstract

In this thesis, we introduce Bayesian filtering as a principled framework for tackling diverse sequential machine learning problems, including online (continual) learning, prequential (one-step-ahead) forecasting, and contextual bandits. To this end, this thesis addresses key challenges in applying Bayesian filtering to these problems: adaptivity to non-stationary environments, robustness to model misspecification and outliers, and scalability to the high-dimensional parameter space of deep neural networks. We develop novel tools within the Bayesian filtering framework to address each of these challenges, including: (i) a modular framework that enables the development adaptive approaches for online learning; (ii) a novel, provably robust filter with similar computational cost to standard filters, that employs Generalised Bayes; and (iii) a set of tools for sequentially updating model parameters using approximate second-order optimisation methods that exploit the overparametrisation of high-dimensional parametric models such as neural networks. Theoretical analysis and empirical results demonstrate the improved performance of our methods in dynamic, high-dimensional, and misspecified models.

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Cite This Study

Gerardo Duràn-Martín (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69473b64db9c958d0dfca79dhttps://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2505.07267
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