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January 18, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Spring rains, extremes, and risks in northern Morocco: Fluctuations and trends (March 2024)

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ABAissam BOUAICHEHFHind FattahBEBouchaib Essalak

Key Points

  • This research investigates extreme spring rainfall patterns and their associated risks in northern Morocco.
  • Characterization of extreme rainfall in Tangier and Chefchaouen during March 2024
  • Dynamic approach to assess synoptic situations and atmospheric conditions
  • Analytical approach for analyzing 2024 rainfall series
  • Application of Gumbel method to determine return periods of precipitation (1976-2024)
  • March 2024 recorded exceptional total monthly precipitation and daily maximums
  • Flooding risks were significantly heightened due to extreme rainfall events
  • Positive impacts on water resource mobilization in agriculture were noted
  • Negative impacts included potential property damage from flooding.

Abstract

The objective of this study is to examine the climatic conditions during this short rainy period and analyze the various atmospheric conditions responsible for the extreme precipitation recorded. It also examines the risks they posed in terms of flooding and property damage. The focus is on total monthly precipitation and daily maximums, with March holding the record values. Finally, the positive and negative impacts of this exceptional period on water resource mobilization and the agricultural sector will be examined. The methodology adopted in this study aims to characterize extreme spring rainfall in the two cities of the Tangier region (Tangier and Chefchaouen) during the year 2024, particularly in March. The proposed approaches are divided into two categories: the dynamic approach to explain synoptic situations, weather types, and climatic conditions; and the analytical approach to analyze rainfall series for the year 2024 (March). In addition, the Gumbel method enabled us to determine the return periods of precipitation (1976-2024).

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Cite This Study

BOUAICHE et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/696c7877eb60fb80d1396b62https://doi.org/10.1051/bioconf/202621101016/pdf
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