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January 25, 2026Journal of Travel Research5 citationsOpen Access

Beyond the Rhetoric of “Sustainable Aviation”: A Counterfactual Confrontation

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SGStefan GösslingVestlandsforskingDHDebbie HopkinsUniversity of OxfordNSNadja SchweiggartLinnaeus University

Key Points

  • The research aims to explore how the aviation industry uses rhetoric to construct narratives around sustainability while promoting growth.
  • Conducted a counterfactual analysis of industry rhetoric.
  • Performed content analysis of 211 sources, including airline websites and reports.
  • Identified seven discursive strategies related to sustainability.
  • Introduced the concept of 'future soothing' as a new theoretical mechanism.
  • Demonstrated how industry rhetoric transforms delays into the appearance of progress.
  • Highlighted the interplay between rhetoric, temporality, and societal responses to climate change.

Abstract

Amid evidence of rising emissions, the aviation industry continues to promote demand growth while offering long-term sustainability reassurances communicated as “facts.” Using counterfactual analysis, this paper examines how industry rhetoric constructs and defends these discursive strategies. Drawing on a content analysis of 211 sources – including airline websites, industry reports, and manufacturer statements – the study identifies seven discursive strategies. The findings reveal a novel theoretical mechanism, “future soothing”: projecting technological salvation into a perpetually deferred future to ease public concern and postpone regulation. By transforming delay into the illusion of progress, discourses operate as rhetorical governance, sustaining growth under the guise of climate responsibility. The paper contributes to scholarship on the temporal politics of sustainability, showing how appeals to the future enable inaction in the present and illustrating how rhetoric, temporality, and power intertwine in shaping societal responses to climate change. Breaking aviation’s “cycle of blame” requires policymaker action.

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Cite This Study

Gössling et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6975b2eafeba4585c2d6e5cdhttps://doi.org/10.1177/00472875251411867
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