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February 2, 20260 citationsOpen Access

The Connection Between Monetary Policy and Housing Prices: Public Perceptions and Expert Communication

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SWSofie R. WaltlPPPhilipp Poyntner

Key Points

  • This research aims to understand how the public perceives the relationship between monetary policy and housing prices, as well as the effect of expert communication on these perceptions.
  • Conducted a cross-country survey experiment in Austria, Germany, Italy, Sweden, and the UK.
  • Evaluated households' understanding of both conventional and unconventional monetary policy.
  • Analyzed how beliefs change in response to information from different experts, specifically academic economists vs. central bankers.
  • Most respondents understand the link between conventional monetary policy and house prices.
  • Public literacy regarding unconventional monetary policy is low.
  • Beliefs about the monetary policy-housing connection can be influenced by expert information.
  • Monetary policy literacy correlates with education, gender, age, and housing market experience.

Abstract

We study how the general public perceives the link between monetary policy and housing markets. Using a large-scale, cross-country survey experiment in Austria, Germany, Italy, Sweden, and the United Kingdom, we examine households’ understanding of monetary policy, their beliefs about its impact on house prices, and how these beliefs respond to expert information. We find that while most respondents grasp the basic mechanisms of conventional monetary policy and recognize the connection between interest rates and house prices, literacy regarding unconventional monetary policy is very low. Beliefs about the monetary policy–housing nexus are malleable and respond to information, particularly when it is provided by academic economists rather than central bankers. Monetary policy literacy is strongly related to education, gender, age, and experience in housing and mortgage markets. Our results highlight the central role of housing in how households interpret monetary policy and point to the importance of credible and inclusive communication strategies for effective policy transmission.

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Cite This Study

Waltl et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6980fe8ac1c9540dea810c06https://doi.org/10.17863/cam.124932
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