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February 5, 2026Australian meteorological magazine0 citations

A generalised Australian Model Output Statistics system

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GMG. A. MillsRTR. G. TappGMG. F. McNamara

Key Points

  • To develop a generalised Model Output Statistics system for predicting maximum and minimum temperatures in Australia.
  • Created a flexible MOS system suitable for various locations and predictors.
  • Utilized grid-point array data for easy addition of new predictors.
  • Developed seasonal equations for temperature predictions in capital cities.
  • Achieved significantly higher accuracy in temperature predictions compared to earlier operational MOS equations.
  • Demonstrated improved skill in predicting maximum and minimum temperatures.

Abstract

A generalised Model Output Statistics (MOS) system for Australian applications has been developed. It is general as to location and predictand, and while a fairly comprehensive set of potential predictors is currently available, the grid-point array nature of the development data set makes it simple to add further potential predictors. The system is applied to develop seasonal equations for the prediction of maximum and minimum temperature at Australian capital cities, and it is shown that these equations are substantially more skilful than the first operational MOS equations, which were developed on an unstratified data set.

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Cite This Study

Mills et al. (1986) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6984358ff1d9ada3c1fb46f2https://doi.org/10.1071/es86007
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