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February 6, 2026BJUI Compass0 citationsOpen Access

Cost‐effectiveness analysis of a biopsy‐free diagnostic strategy for prostate cancer using mpMRI and PSMA‐PET/CT

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JTJoshua Yi Min TungRLRachel Shu‐En LauETE H C Teo

Key Points

  • This analysis aims to assess the economic viability of combining PSMA PET/CT and mpMRI for diagnosing clinically significant prostate cancer without biopsies.
  • Developed a decision tree model comparing a biopsy-free approach with a conventional mpMRI and biopsy strategy.
  • Evaluated costs and Quality-Adjusted-Life-Years (QALYs) associated with each strategy.
  • Conducted one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to measure robustness of findings.
  • The combined imaging strategy improved effectiveness by 0.04 QALY but was SGD$4088.03 more expensive than the conventional strategy.
  • The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was SGD$92782.87 per QALY.
  • Missed diagnoses were lower in the combined strategy (3.5%) compared to the conventional strategy (13.9%).
  • The combined approach was deemed cost-effective at willingness-to-pay thresholds of SGD$121160 and SGD$363480.

Abstract

Abstract Introduction Prostate‐Specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography Computed Tomography (PSMA PET/CT) has shown a higher diagnostic accuracy in prostate cancer imaging when compared to conventional modalities, with improved sensitivity and specificity rates when combined with multiparametric prostate Magnetic Resonance Imaging (mpMRI). We evaluated the cost‐effectiveness of a combined PSMA PET/CT and mpMRI biopsy‐free diagnostic approach for clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa). Method A decision tree model was designed to compare two diagnostic strategies for csPCa in men with raised Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA) —the first with conventional mpMRI followed by transperineal prostate biopsy versus a second biopsy‐free, PSMA PET/CT plus mpMRI combined imaging strategy. We evaluated the impact of each strategy on costs and Quality‐Adjusted‐Life‐Years (QALYs). Willingness‐to‐pay thresholds were set at 1× and 3× Gross Domestic Product (GDP). One‐way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. Results A combined mpMRI and PSMA PET/CT diagnostic strategy was 0. 04 QALY more effective but SGD4088. 03 more expensive than the conventional mpMRI and biopsy strategy. The incremental cost‐effective ratio (ICER) was SGD92782. 87 per quality‐adjusted life year (QALY). In the combined imaging strategy, 3. 5% of the cohort had a missed diagnosis of prostate cancer versus 13. 9% in the conventional mpMRI and biopsy strategy. Probabilistic analyses showed that the combined imaging strategy was cost‐effective at willingness‐to‐pay thresholds of SGD121160 and SGD363480, respectively. Conclusion Combined mpMRI and PSMA PET/CT for csPCa diagnosis are a cost‐effective strategy in terms of health utility over the conventional approach for diagnosing csPCa in men with raised PSA, potentially reducing the need for invasive diagnostic procedures.

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Cite This Study

Tung et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6985852f8f7c464f2300860bhttps://doi.org/10.1002/bco2.70172
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